While energy markets are starting to stabilize, the pandemic-fueled collapse in demand continues to hammer the oil and gas industry.Hundreds of bankruptcies are on the horizon, according to the research firm Rystad Energy. Whiting Petroleum and Diamond Offshore Drilling are the latest two companies to file. The rating agency Fitch shared data with Business Insider on the top 25 “bonds of concern” in the energy industry, amounting to almost $30 billion in outstanding debt.California Resources Corp. and Unit Corp. are the most likely companies to file for bankruptcy protection on the list, a Fitch analyst said.Visit Markets Insider to view the latest on oil prices.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx news official website.
One year from now, the US energy industry might be hard to recognize.“What you’re seeing is a rapid shrinkage of the industry,” said Adam Waterous, the former head of energy and power for North America at Scotiabank.There will be a handful of mergers, loads of debt-for-equity swaps, and plenty of bankruptcies in the wake of low oil prices, said Waterous, who now runs the investment firm Waterous Energy Fund. If the price of US crude remains at or below $20 a barrel — where it spent much of the last few weeks — Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases could reach 140 this year and increase to almost 400 in 2021, according to an analysis by Rystad Energy, published in March.
Click here to subscribe to Power Line, Business Insider’s weekly
clean-energy newsletter.And for some companies, it’s no longer a
hypothetical.Whiting Petroleum and Diamond Offshore Drilling have
already filed for bankruptcy, while Chesapeake Energy and Unit Corp. are
preparing to potentially follow suit, according to reports from Reuters
and the Wall Street Journal. Chesapeake Energy and Unit Corp. didn’t
respond to requests for comment.
Energy companies make up half of Fitch’s ‘top bonds of concern’In an April report, Fitch Ratings found that defaults by energy companies are expected to exceed $30 billion this year.More remarkably, energy firms account for nearly half of Fitch’s April list of “top bonds of concern” — which includes the companies most likely to default.Fitch updates the list regularly based on things like ratings, market information, and input from the firm’s analysts, according to Eric Rosenthal, senior director of leveraged finance at Fitch.
Energy bonds were “especially impacted by the decline in crude oil prices,” Rosenthal said in April. “Timing will play a key role,” he added. It’s possible that the “2020 rate could top the prior record depending on crude oil prices.” Three companies are most likely to fileRosenthal said California Resources, Unit Corp., and Ultra Petroleum are most likely to file for bankruptcy, whereas a handful of others will do a distressed debt exchange, which Fitch considers a default for rating purposes.In a debt exchange, creditors typically offer a company more favorable terms, rather than risk getting wiped out in bankruptcy.
“The vast majority of the names on the list will file rather than do exchanges,” Rosenthal said. In late March, the Los Angeles Times reported that California Resources is considering bankruptcy after “efforts to rework its debt out of court fell short amid a crash in energy prices,” citing people familiar with the matter. Colorado-based Ultra Petroleum is preparing to seek Chapter 11 protection, for the second time since 2016, as is Oklahoma-based Unit Corp., the Wall Street Journal reported.California Resources and Ultra Petroleum did not respond to a request for comment in time for publication.
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